5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
47.5%
151 games
As Favorite
49.4%
85 games
As Underdog
47.7%
65 games
Recent Season
44.8%
2025-26
Current Season
44.8%
29 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Northern Kentucky
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Northern Kentucky
20
14
0.5880.59
-6.1
+0.0
—
—
+0.78
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Northern Kentucky
17
16
0.5150.52
-6.9
-0.9
—
—
-1.81
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Northern Kentucky
18
15
0.5450.55
-6.4
+0.6
—
—
+0.56
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Northern Kentucky
22
13
0.6290.63
-3.1
+2.1
-0.01
#16
+0.29
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Northern Kentucky
20
12
0.6250.62
-5.3
+2.6
—
—
+1.93
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Northern Kentucky
14
11
0.5600.56
-5.4
+1.0
—
—
+0.93
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Northern Kentucky
23
9
0.7190.72
-1.4
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
South Carolina
10
21
0.3230.32
-7.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
South Carolina
14
16
0.4670.47
-2.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
South Carolina
15
16
0.4840.48
-1.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
South Carolina
21
10
0.6770.68
+2.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Western Kentucky
29
7
0.8060.81
—
—
+1.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Western Kentucky
22
11
0.6670.67
-1.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Western Kentucky
23
8
0.7420.74
+3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Western Kentucky
22
9
0.7100.71
+1.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Western Kentucky
15
13
0.5360.54
-2.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.