5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
50.5%
63 games
As Favorite
55.6%
36 games
As Underdog
44.4%
27 games
Recent Season
46.9%
2021-22
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2021-22
Mississippi St.
18
16
0.5290.53
+0.0
-1.5
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Mississippi St.
18
15
0.5450.55
-0.7
+0.8
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Mississippi St.
20
11
0.6450.65
+2.6
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Mississippi St.
23
11
0.6760.68
+7.1
—
-1.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Mississippi St.
25
12
0.6760.68
+3.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Mississippi St.
16
16
0.5000.50
-2.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Mississippi St.
14
17
0.4520.45
-3.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2012-13
UCLA
25
10
0.7140.71
+7.2
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
UCLA
19
14
0.5760.58
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
UCLA
23
11
0.6760.68
+4.2
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2009-10
UCLA
14
18
0.4380.44
-2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
UCLA
26
9
0.7430.74
+7.5
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
UCLA
35
4
0.8970.90
—
—
+0.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
UCLA
30
6
0.8330.83
+9.7
—
+1.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
UCLA
32
7
0.8210.82
+9.2
—
+2.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
UCLA
18
11
0.6210.62
+3.1
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
UCLA
11
17
0.3930.39
-4.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Pittsburgh
28
5
0.8480.85
—
—
-0.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Pittsburgh
29
6
0.8290.83
+8.1
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Pittsburgh
19
14
0.5760.58
+0.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Pittsburgh
13
15
0.4640.46
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Northern Arizona
21
8
0.7240.72
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Northern Arizona
21
8
0.7240.72
—
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Northern Arizona
21
7
0.7500.75
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Northern Arizona
6
20
0.2310.23
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Northern Arizona
8
18
0.3080.31
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Seattle, WA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.