5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
45.7%
90 games
As Favorite
52.7%
55 games
As Underdog
34.3%
35 games
Recent Season
48.5%
2022-23
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2022-23
West Virginia
19
15
0.5590.56
+3.1
-0.7
-0.60
#9
+1.26
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
West Virginia
16
17
0.4850.48
+0.0
-0.8
—
—
-1.52
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
West Virginia
19
10
0.6550.66
+4.5
-0.2
-0.79
#3
-0.80
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
West Virginia
21
10
0.6770.68
+5.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
West Virginia
15
21
0.4170.42
-1.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
West Virginia
26
11
0.7030.70
+7.0
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
West Virginia
28
9
0.7570.76
+8.7
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
West Virginia
26
9
0.7430.74
+9.0
—
-1.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
West Virginia
25
10
0.7140.71
+6.0
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
West Virginia
17
16
0.5150.52
-0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
West Virginia
13
19
0.4060.41
-4.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
West Virginia
19
14
0.5760.58
+1.1
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
West Virginia
21
12
0.6360.64
+3.9
—
-0.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2009-10
West Virginia
31
7
0.8160.82
+10.4
—
+1.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
West Virginia
23
12
0.6570.66
+5.7
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
West Virginia
26
11
0.7030.70
—
—
+1.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Kansas State
23
12
0.6570.66
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2004-05
Cincinnati
25
8
0.7580.76
+6.4
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Cincinnati
25
7
0.7810.78
+8.1
—
-0.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Cincinnati
17
12
0.5860.59
—
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Cincinnati
31
4
0.8860.89
+13.2
—
-2.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Cincinnati
25
10
0.7140.71
+6.0
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Cincinnati
29
4
0.8790.88
—
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Cincinnati
27
6
0.8180.82
—
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Cincinnati
27
6
0.8180.82
—
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Cincinnati
26
8
0.7650.76
—
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Cincinnati
28
5
0.8480.85
—
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Cincinnati
22
12
0.6470.65
—
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Seattle, WA
►1993-94
Cincinnati
22
10
0.6880.69
—
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Charlotte, NC
►1992-93
Cincinnati
27
5
0.8440.84
—
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
New Orleans, LA
►1991-92
Cincinnati
29
5
0.8530.85
—
—
+2.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Minneapolis, MN
►1990-91
Cincinnati
18
12
0.6000.60
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1989-90
Cincinnati
20
14
0.5880.59
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Denver, CO
►1988-89
Akron
21
8
0.7240.72
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Seattle, WA
►1987-88
Akron
21
7
0.7500.75
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Kansas City, MO
►1986-87
Akron
21
9
0.7000.70
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►1985-86
Akron
22
8
0.7330.73
—
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Dallas, TX
►1984-85
Akron
12
14
0.4620.46
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Lexington, KY
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.