5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.1%
171 games
As Favorite
54.5%
154 games
As Underdog
52.9%
17 games
Recent Season
41.0%
2025-26
Current Season
41.0%
39 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Connecticut
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Connecticut
34
6
0.8500.85
+11.9
+4.3
+2.73
#2
-0.20
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Connecticut
24
11
0.6860.69
+5.5
+0.2
+0.31
#8
-1.80
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Connecticut
37
3
0.9250.93
+12.8
+7.0
+2.74
#1
+3.18
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Connecticut
31
8
0.7950.79
+6.8
+3.9
+4.48
#4
+4.45
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Connecticut
23
10
0.6970.70
+5.2
+0.2
-1.12
#5
-1.12
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Connecticut
15
8
0.6520.65
+3.7
+1.3
-0.86
#7
+2.45
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Connecticut
19
12
0.6130.61
+0.7
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Connecticut
16
17
0.4850.48
-3.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Rhode Island
26
8
0.7650.76
+4.8
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Rhode Island
25
10
0.7140.71
+3.9
—
+0.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Rhode Island
17
15
0.5310.53
-3.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Rhode Island
23
10
0.6970.70
+2.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Rhode Island
14
18
0.4380.44
-4.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Rhode Island
8
21
0.2760.28
-8.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Wagner
25
6
0.8060.81
+2.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Wagner
13
17
0.4330.43
-8.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.