5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
47.8%
140 games
As Underdog
48.9%
137 games
Recent Season
46.7%
2025-26
Current Season
46.7%
30 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Mississippi Valley St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Mississippi Valley St.
3
30
0.0910.09
-22.6
-2.9
—
—
+0.37
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Mississippi Valley St.
3
28
0.0970.10
-19.0
-2.0
—
—
-4.93
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Mississippi Valley St.
1
30
0.0320.03
-20.4
-3.6
—
—
-1.48
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Mississippi Valley St.
5
27
0.1560.16
-18.1
-2.0
—
—
+0.71
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2020-21
Arkansas Pine Bluff
4
21
0.1600.16
-13.9
-2.4
—
—
+0.00
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Arkansas Pine Bluff
4
26
0.1330.13
-18.0
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Arkansas Pine Bluff
13
19
0.4060.41
-11.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Arkansas Pine Bluff
14
21
0.4000.40
-13.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Arkansas Pine Bluff
7
25
0.2190.22
-18.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Arkansas Pine Bluff
8
25
0.2420.24
-15.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Arkansas Pine Bluff
12
20
0.3750.38
-12.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Arkansas Pine Bluff
13
18
0.4190.42
-9.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Arkansas Pine Bluff
16
14
0.5330.53
-5.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Arkansas Pine Bluff
11
22
0.3330.33
-13.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Arkansas Pine Bluff
7
24
0.2260.23
-15.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Arkansas Pine Bluff
18
16
0.5290.53
-6.0
—
+0.99
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Arkansas Pine Bluff
13
18
0.4190.42
-9.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.