5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
55.6%
173 games
As Favorite
57.5%
127 games
As Underdog
50.0%
46 games
Recent Season
45.7%
2025-26
Current Season
45.7%
35 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Michigan St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Michigan St.
27
8
0.7710.77
+10.0
+3.3
+0.21
#3
-1.50
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Michigan St.
30
7
0.8110.81
+11.0
+6.1
+0.73
#2
+3.36
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Michigan St.
20
15
0.5710.57
+2.9
-2.2
+0.40
#9
+0.57
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Michigan St.
21
13
0.6180.62
+3.4
+2.0
+1.14
#7
+0.11
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Michigan St.
23
13
0.6390.64
+4.4
+2.1
+0.14
#7
+0.60
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Michigan St.
15
13
0.5360.54
+2.9
-0.2
-0.56
#11
-3.67
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Michigan St.
22
9
0.7100.71
+7.2
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Michigan St.
32
7
0.8210.82
+13.3
—
+1.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Michigan St.
30
5
0.8570.86
+10.7
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Michigan St.
20
15
0.5710.57
+2.8
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Michigan St.
29
6
0.8290.83
+10.6
—
-2.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Michigan St.
27
12
0.6920.69
+6.4
—
+3.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Michigan St.
29
9
0.7630.76
+8.7
—
+1.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Michigan St.
27
9
0.7500.75
+9.0
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Michigan St.
29
8
0.7840.78
+9.7
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Michigan St.
19
15
0.5590.56
+3.9
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Michigan St.
28
9
0.7570.76
+7.3
—
+2.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Michigan St.
31
7
0.8160.82
+8.6
—
+2.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Michigan St.
27
9
0.7500.75
—
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Michigan St.
23
12
0.6570.66
+3.5
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Michigan St.
22
12
0.6470.65
+4.5
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Michigan St.
26
7
0.7880.79
+6.5
—
+2.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Michigan St.
18
12
0.6000.60
+3.1
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Michigan St.
22
13
0.6290.63
—
—
+2.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Michigan St.
19
12
0.6130.61
+4.7
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Michigan St.
28
5
0.8480.85
+9.6
—
+0.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Michigan St.
32
7
0.8210.82
—
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Michigan St.
33
5
0.8680.87
—
—
+0.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Michigan St.
22
8
0.7330.73
—
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Michigan St.
17
12
0.5860.59
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Michigan St.
16
16
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
East Rutherford, NJ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.