5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
43.6%
147 games
As Favorite
44.4%
72 games
As Underdog
44.6%
74 games
Recent Season
39.3%
2025-26
Current Season
39.3%
28 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2025-26
Texas Southern
12
18
0.4000.40
-12.8
-1.2
—
—
-0.05
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Texas Southern
15
17
0.4690.47
-10.7
-1.3
—
—
+0.41
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Texas Southern
16
17
0.4850.48
-9.0
+0.2
—
—
+0.06
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Texas Southern
14
21
0.4000.40
-12.6
-3.2
-0.01
#16
-1.13
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Texas Southern
19
13
0.5940.59
-5.2
+1.5
+0.99
#16
+2.14
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Texas Southern
17
9
0.6540.65
-2.9
+3.5
+0.99
#16
+1.15
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Texas Southern
16
16
0.5000.50
-8.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Texas Southern
24
14
0.6320.63
-5.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2016-17
LSU
10
21
0.3230.32
-6.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
LSU
19
14
0.5760.58
+0.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
LSU
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.8
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
LSU
20
14
0.5880.59
+0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
LSU
19
12
0.6130.61
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
North Texas
18
14
0.5620.56
-5.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
North Texas
22
11
0.6670.67
-3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
North Texas
24
9
0.7270.73
-0.2
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
North Texas
20
12
0.6250.62
-3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
North Texas
20
11
0.6450.65
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
North Texas
23
11
0.6760.68
-3.0
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
North Texas
14
14
0.5000.50
-5.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
North Texas
14
14
0.5000.50
-5.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
North Texas
13
15
0.4640.46
-5.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
North Texas
7
21
0.2500.25
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
North Texas
15
14
0.5170.52
-3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►1999-00
Memphis
15
16
0.4840.48
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.