5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
54.8%
163 games
As Favorite
52.8%
127 games
As Underdog
66.7%
36 games
Recent Season
48.6%
2025-26
Current Season
48.6%
35 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Louisville
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Louisville
24
11
0.6860.69
+6.8
-0.4
-0.02
#6
+0.50
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Louisville
27
8
0.7710.77
+8.6
+4.6
-0.69
#8
+2.30
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Charleston
27
8
0.7710.77
+1.9
+4.7
-0.24
#13
+1.66
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Charleston
31
4
0.8860.89
+4.7
+6.5
-0.48
#12
+3.97
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Charleston
17
15
0.5310.53
-5.4
+0.8
—
—
+0.73
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Winthrop
23
2
0.9200.92
+3.3
+2.5
-0.48
#12
+2.33
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Winthrop
24
10
0.7060.71
-2.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Winthrop
18
12
0.6000.60
-3.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Winthrop
19
12
0.6130.61
-5.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Winthrop
26
7
0.7880.79
+1.4
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Winthrop
23
9
0.7190.72
-1.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Winthrop
19
13
0.5940.59
-6.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Winthrop
20
13
0.6060.61
-5.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Winthrop
14
17
0.4520.45
-9.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.