5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
54.2%
168 games
As Favorite
47.6%
126 games
As Underdog
75.6%
41 games
Recent Season
46.7%
2025-26
Current Season
46.7%
30 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
UAB
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
UAB
20
12
0.6250.62
-2.5
+0.7
—
—
-1.72
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UAB
24
13
0.6490.65
-2.4
+1.1
—
—
-0.43
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
UAB
23
12
0.6570.66
+1.8
+4.5
-0.48
#12
+0.64
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
UAB
29
10
0.7440.74
+2.0
+1.2
—
—
+0.20
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
UAB
27
8
0.7710.77
+3.1
+1.8
-0.48
#12
+0.05
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UAB
22
7
0.7590.76
+0.4
+0.7
—
—
+1.19
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2017-18
Mississippi
11
16
0.4070.41
-4.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Mississippi
22
14
0.6110.61
+1.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Mississippi
20
12
0.6250.62
+1.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Mississippi
21
13
0.6180.62
+2.6
—
+0.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Mississippi
19
14
0.5760.58
+0.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Mississippi
27
9
0.7500.75
+5.9
—
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Mississippi
20
14
0.5880.59
+1.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Mississippi
20
14
0.5880.59
+0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Mississippi
24
11
0.6860.69
+3.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Mississippi
16
15
0.5160.52
-1.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Mississippi
24
11
0.6860.69
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Mississippi
21
13
0.6180.62
+2.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Cincinnati
21
13
0.6180.62
+3.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.