5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
44.3%
99 games
As Favorite
59.4%
32 games
As Underdog
42.4%
66 games
Recent Season
21.7%
2023-24
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Southeast Missouri
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Southeast Missouri
20
13
0.6060.61
-6.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Southeast Missouri
21
12
0.6360.64
-5.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Southeast Missouri St.
9
22
0.2900.29
-14.8
-3.7
—
—
-4.67
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Southeast Missouri St.
19
17
0.5280.53
-8.4
+1.5
-0.01
#16
+1.20
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Southeast Missouri St.
14
18
0.4380.44
-9.0
-0.4
—
—
+0.48
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Southeast Missouri St.
11
16
0.4070.41
-10.4
-0.3
—
—
+1.21
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.