5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.9%
161 games
As Favorite
50.9%
112 games
As Underdog
62.5%
48 games
Recent Season
56.2%
2025-26
Current Season
56.2%
32 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Toledo
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Toledo
19
15
0.5590.56
-5.1
+0.5
—
—
+2.39
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Toledo
18
15
0.5450.55
-5.7
+0.3
—
—
-3.83
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Toledo
20
12
0.6250.62
-2.7
+0.9
—
—
-0.42
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Toledo
27
8
0.7710.77
+2.1
+4.5
—
—
+1.53
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Toledo
26
8
0.7650.76
+1.7
+4.5
—
—
+3.89
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Toledo
21
9
0.7000.70
+0.7
+2.1
—
—
+3.38
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Toledo
17
15
0.5310.53
-5.3
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Toledo
25
8
0.7580.76
+3.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Toledo
23
11
0.6760.68
-1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Toledo
17
17
0.5000.50
-6.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Toledo
17
15
0.5310.53
-5.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Toledo
20
13
0.6060.61
-0.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Toledo
27
7
0.7940.79
+4.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Toledo
15
13
0.5360.54
-4.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Toledo
19
17
0.5280.53
-7.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Toledo
4
28
0.1250.12
-18.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Green Bay
22
13
0.6290.63
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Green Bay
22
11
0.6670.67
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Green Bay
15
15
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Green Bay
18
15
0.5450.55
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Green Bay
15
16
0.4840.48
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Green Bay
17
11
0.6070.61
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Green Bay
17
11
0.6070.61
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Green Bay
10
20
0.3330.33
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.