5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
48.7%
60 games
As Favorite
50.0%
54 games
As Underdog
50.0%
6 games
Recent Season
55.3%
2021-22
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2021-22
Duke
32
7
0.8210.82
+8.0
+3.4
+1.73
#2
+0.17
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Duke
13
11
0.5420.54
+0.3
-2.6
—
—
-2.21
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Duke
25
6
0.8060.81
+7.8
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Duke
32
6
0.8420.84
+13.4
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Duke
29
8
0.7840.78
+8.9
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Duke
28
9
0.7570.76
+9.9
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Duke
25
11
0.6940.69
+5.7
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Duke
35
4
0.8970.90
+11.5
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Duke
26
9
0.7430.74
+7.5
—
-1.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Duke
30
6
0.8330.83
+10.2
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Duke
27
7
0.7940.79
+9.9
—
-2.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Duke
32
5
0.8650.86
+11.5
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Duke
35
5
0.8750.88
+12.3
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Duke
30
7
0.8110.81
+10.4
—
-0.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Duke
28
6
0.8240.82
—
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Duke
22
11
0.6670.67
+6.0
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Duke
32
4
0.8890.89
+12.9
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Duke
27
6
0.8180.82
+9.7
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Duke
31
6
0.8380.84
+10.9
—
+0.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Duke
26
7
0.7880.79
—
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Duke
31
4
0.8860.89
+12.7
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Duke
35
4
0.8970.90
+13.4
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Duke
29
5
0.8530.85
—
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Duke
37
2
0.9490.95
—
—
+1.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Duke
32
4
0.8890.89
—
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Duke
24
9
0.7270.73
—
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Duke
18
13
0.5810.58
—
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Duke
9
3
0.7500.75
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Seattle, WA
►1993-94
Duke
28
6
0.8240.82
—
—
+2.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Charlotte, NC
►1992-93
Duke
24
8
0.7500.75
—
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►1991-92
Duke
34
2
0.9440.94
—
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Minneapolis, MN
►1990-91
Duke
32
7
0.8210.82
—
—
+3.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Indianapolis, IN
►1989-90
Duke
29
9
0.7630.76
—
—
+3.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Denver, CO
►1988-89
Duke
28
8
0.7780.78
—
—
+1.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Seattle, WA
►1987-88
Duke
28
7
0.8000.80
—
—
+1.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Kansas City, MO
►1986-87
Duke
24
9
0.7270.73
—
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►1985-86
Duke
37
3
0.9250.93
—
—
+1.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Dallas, TX
►1984-85
Duke
23
8
0.7420.74
—
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Lexington, KY
1983-84
Duke
24
10
0.7060.71
—
—
—
—
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Seattle, WA
1982-83
Duke
11
17
0.3930.39
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Albuquerque, NM
1981-82
Duke
10
17
0.3700.37
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
1980-81
Duke
17
13
0.5670.57
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Philadelphia, PA
1979-80
Army
9
17
0.3460.35
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
1978-79
Army
14
11
0.5600.56
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Salt Lake City, UT
1977-78
Army
19
9
0.6790.68
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
1976-77
Army
20
8
0.7140.71
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
1975-76
Army
11
14
0.4400.44
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Philadelphia, PA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.