5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
50.3%
140 games
As Favorite
43.5%
69 games
As Underdog
54.9%
71 games
Recent Season
55.6%
2025-26
Current Season
55.6%
27 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Rice
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Rice
13
18
0.4190.42
-8.8
-1.3
—
—
-1.76
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Rice
13
19
0.4060.41
-10.7
-2.1
—
—
+0.48
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
SMU
20
13
0.6060.61
-0.6
-0.9
—
—
+2.08
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
SMU
10
22
0.3120.31
-8.8
-4.1
—
—
-2.58
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Georgia St.
18
11
0.6210.62
-2.4
-0.9
-0.01
#16
-2.45
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Georgia St.
16
6
0.7270.73
-0.2
+1.4
—
—
-2.04
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Georgia St.
19
13
0.5940.59
-2.8
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2004-05
Siena
6
24
0.2000.20
-14.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Siena
14
16
0.4670.47
-6.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Siena
21
11
0.6560.66
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Siena
17
19
0.4720.47
-7.8
—
+0.99
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.