5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.1%
134 games
As Favorite
45.3%
64 games
As Underdog
55.7%
70 games
Recent Season
58.1%
2025-26
Current Season
58.1%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
UC Davis
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
UC Davis
19
14
0.5760.58
-4.8
+2.1
—
—
+0.92
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UC Davis
15
17
0.4690.47
-7.4
-0.1
—
—
-1.93
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
UC Davis
20
13
0.6060.61
-4.2
+1.3
—
—
-0.69
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
UC Davis
18
14
0.5620.56
-5.1
-0.4
—
—
+0.28
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
UC Davis
13
11
0.5420.54
-5.4
+0.8
—
—
-1.89
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UC Davis
10
8
0.5560.56
-4.0
+1.3
—
—
+1.79
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
UC Davis
14
18
0.4380.44
-9.4
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
UC Davis
11
20
0.3550.35
-10.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
UC Davis
22
11
0.6670.67
-1.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
UC Davis
23
13
0.6390.64
-4.3
—
+0.99
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
UC Davis
11
19
0.3670.37
-10.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
UC Davis
25
7
0.7810.78
+3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
UC Davis
9
22
0.2900.29
-12.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
UC Davis
14
17
0.4520.45
-7.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
UC Davis
5
26
0.1610.16
-16.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Bradley
12
20
0.3750.38
-9.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Bradley
16
15
0.5160.52
-2.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Bradley
21
15
0.5830.58
-2.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Bradley
21
17
0.5530.55
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Bradley
22
13
0.6290.63
+3.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Bradley
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.3
—
+1.76
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Bradley
13
15
0.4640.46
-3.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Bradley
15
16
0.4840.48
-3.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Bradley
12
18
0.4000.40
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.