5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.2%
113 games
As Favorite
53.1%
49 games
As Underdog
51.6%
62 games
Recent Season
55.6%
2025-26
Current Season
55.6%
27 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Ball St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Ball St.
12
19
0.3870.39
-11.4
-0.9
—
—
+0.30
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Ball St.
14
17
0.4520.45
-10.3
-2.3
—
—
-0.25
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Ball St.
15
16
0.4840.48
-9.0
-1.0
—
—
+0.50
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Ball St.
20
12
0.6250.62
-3.7
+1.5
—
—
+0.10
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.