5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
50.1%
91 games
As Favorite
46.9%
49 games
As Underdog
52.4%
42 games
Recent Season
58.6%
2025-26
Current Season
58.6%
29 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Montana St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Montana St.
18
14
0.5620.56
-5.2
-0.1
—
—
+1.53
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Montana St.
15
18
0.4550.45
-9.0
-2.4
—
—
-0.42
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Montana St.
17
18
0.4860.49
-9.0
+0.6
-0.01
#16
+1.66
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.