5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
44.5%
120 games
As Favorite
43.9%
57 games
As Underdog
48.4%
62 games
Recent Season
34.5%
2025-26
Current Season
34.5%
29 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Milwaukee
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Milwaukee
12
20
0.3750.38
-10.6
-3.0
—
—
-2.84
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Milwaukee
21
11
0.6560.66
-3.1
+1.7
—
—
+1.29
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Milwaukee
20
15
0.5710.57
-6.1
+1.5
—
—
+0.11
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Milwaukee
22
12
0.6470.65
-3.3
+4.4
—
—
+0.73
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2008-09
High Point
9
21
0.3000.30
-14.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
High Point
17
14
0.5480.55
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
High Point
22
10
0.6880.69
-2.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
High Point
16
13
0.5520.55
-6.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
High Point
13
18
0.4190.42
-10.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
High Point
19
11
0.6330.63
-4.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.