5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
51.3%
140 games
As Favorite
56.4%
78 games
As Underdog
45.9%
61 games
Recent Season
44.1%
2025-26
Current Season
44.1%
34 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Oklahoma St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Oklahoma St.
20
15
0.5710.57
+2.5
+1.5
—
—
-1.70
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Oklahoma St.
17
18
0.4860.49
-0.6
+1.4
—
—
-0.94
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Western Kentucky
22
12
0.6470.65
-2.6
+2.5
-0.10
#15
+2.81
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Texas A&M Corpus Chris
24
11
0.6860.69
-3.5
+1.1
+0.99
#16
+0.36
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Texas A&M Corpus Chris
23
12
0.6570.66
-4.7
+0.7
-0.01
#16
+1.00
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.