5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.5%
111 games
As Favorite
58.3%
72 games
As Underdog
38.5%
39 games
Recent Season
61.3%
2025-26
Current Season
61.3%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
South Florida
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Charleston
21
11
0.6560.66
-2.2
+3.2
—
—
-0.40
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Charleston
24
9
0.7270.73
-0.7
+4.3
—
—
-0.94
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2021-22
Louisville
6
8
0.4290.43
-5.3
-4.1
—
—
-5.15
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Louisville
13
7
0.6500.65
+2.5
+0.8
—
—
-4.83
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Louisville
24
7
0.7740.77
+6.6
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Louisville
20
14
0.5880.59
+4.6
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Xavier
29
6
0.8290.83
+11.3
—
-2.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Xavier
24
14
0.6320.63
+2.9
—
+2.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Xavier
28
6
0.8240.82
+9.7
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Xavier
23
14
0.6220.62
+4.2
—
+0.98
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Xavier
21
13
0.6180.62
+4.1
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Xavier
17
14
0.5480.55
-0.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Xavier
23
13
0.6390.64
+2.8
—
+1.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Xavier
24
8
0.7500.75
+5.6
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Xavier
26
9
0.7430.74
+6.0
—
+0.98
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.