5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
56.9%
156 games
As Favorite
53.8%
78 games
As Underdog
61.0%
77 games
Recent Season
51.5%
2025-26
Current Season
51.5%
33 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
California
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
California
22
12
0.6470.65
+2.4
+2.7
—
—
+1.08
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
California
14
19
0.4240.42
-5.3
-2.3
—
—
+0.32
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
California
13
19
0.4060.41
-4.5
-1.3
—
—
-0.58
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Utah Valley
28
9
0.7570.76
+2.7
+6.0
—
—
+3.78
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Utah Valley
20
12
0.6250.62
-2.6
+2.1
—
—
+2.52
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Utah Valley
11
11
0.5000.50
-4.9
-0.8
—
—
-0.18
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Utah Valley
11
19
0.3670.37
-11.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.