5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
55.6%
141 games
As Favorite
47.8%
69 games
As Underdog
60.6%
71 games
Recent Season
60.7%
2025-26
Current Season
60.7%
28 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Fordham
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Fordham
17
15
0.5310.53
-6.1
+0.4
—
—
+2.36
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UC Riverside
21
13
0.6180.62
-1.0
+3.8
—
—
-0.59
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
UC Riverside
16
18
0.4710.47
-7.8
+0.1
—
—
-0.32
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
UC Riverside
22
12
0.6470.65
-1.4
+4.3
—
—
-1.31
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
UC Riverside
16
12
0.5710.57
-4.3
+0.7
—
—
-0.85
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UC Riverside
14
8
0.6360.64
-2.3
+2.0
—
—
+6.95
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.