5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
54.2%
116 games
As Favorite
45.5%
44 games
As Underdog
58.3%
72 games
Recent Season
58.1%
2025-26
Current Season
58.1%
31 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Missouri St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Missouri St.
16
18
0.4710.47
-10.1
-1.6
—
—
+0.11
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Missouri St.
9
23
0.2810.28
-14.0
-5.6
—
—
-1.02
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2021-22
Missouri
12
21
0.3640.36
-5.1
-0.2
—
—
+0.45
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Missouri
16
10
0.6150.62
+4.3
+1.9
-0.60
#9
-0.29
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Missouri
15
16
0.4840.48
-2.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Missouri
15
17
0.4690.47
-0.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Missouri
20
13
0.6060.61
+3.6
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
California
21
13
0.6180.62
+2.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
California
23
11
0.6760.68
+5.2
—
-1.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
California
18
15
0.5450.55
-0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Tennessee
24
13
0.6490.65
+2.1
—
+2.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Tennessee
20
13
0.6060.61
+2.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Tennessee
19
15
0.5590.56
+0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Missouri St.
26
9
0.7430.74
+2.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Missouri St.
24
12
0.6670.67
-0.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Missouri St.
11
20
0.3550.35
-8.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.