5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
48.3%
127 games
As Favorite
57.6%
59 games
As Underdog
39.7%
68 games
Recent Season
51.6%
2025-26
Current Season
51.6%
31 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2025-26
Butler
16
16
0.5000.50
-1.1
-1.3
—
—
-2.02
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Butler
15
20
0.4290.43
-3.0
-1.7
—
—
+0.63
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Butler
18
15
0.5450.55
+1.2
+0.2
—
—
+1.20
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Butler
14
18
0.4380.44
-3.1
-0.6
—
—
-2.07
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2016-17
Ohio St.
17
15
0.5310.53
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Ohio St.
21
14
0.6000.60
+1.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Ohio St.
24
11
0.6860.69
+5.2
—
+0.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Ohio St.
25
10
0.7140.71
+7.0
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Ohio St.
29
8
0.7840.78
+9.5
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Ohio St.
31
8
0.7950.79
+9.7
—
+1.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Ohio St.
34
3
0.9190.92
+14.1
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Ohio St.
29
8
0.7840.78
+9.2
—
-0.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Ohio St.
22
11
0.6670.67
+5.2
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Ohio St.
24
13
0.6490.65
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Ohio St.
35
4
0.8970.90
+12.5
—
+1.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Ohio St.
26
6
0.8120.81
+8.6
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Ohio St.
20
12
0.6250.62
+2.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Xavier
26
11
0.7030.70
+4.4
—
+2.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Xavier
26
6
0.8120.81
—
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Xavier
26
6
0.8120.81
—
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Butler
24
8
0.7500.75
+4.3
—
+0.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.