5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.0%
157 games
As Favorite
56.4%
94 games
As Underdog
46.0%
63 games
Recent Season
69.2%
2025-26
Current Season
69.2%
26 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Penn
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Penn
18
12
0.6000.60
-2.9
+3.9
-0.15
#14
+3.69
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Iowa
17
16
0.5150.52
+0.4
-0.9
—
—
-0.11
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Iowa
19
15
0.5590.56
+1.8
-0.1
—
—
-0.71
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Iowa
19
14
0.5760.58
+1.9
-1.6
-0.69
#8
-1.36
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Iowa
26
10
0.7220.72
+5.9
+2.4
-1.12
#5
+3.54
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Iowa
22
9
0.7100.71
+7.4
+1.6
-1.27
#2
+2.44
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Iowa
20
11
0.6450.65
+5.2
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Iowa
23
12
0.6570.66
+6.0
—
+0.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Iowa
14
19
0.4240.42
-3.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Iowa
19
15
0.5590.56
+0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Iowa
22
11
0.6670.67
+5.0
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Iowa
22
12
0.6470.65
+4.6
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Iowa
20
13
0.6060.61
+2.9
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Iowa
25
13
0.6580.66
+3.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Iowa
18
17
0.5140.51
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Iowa
11
20
0.3550.35
-4.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Siena
27
7
0.7940.79
+4.7
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Siena
27
8
0.7710.77
+4.3
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Siena
23
11
0.6760.68
—
—
+0.76
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Siena
20
12
0.6250.62
-4.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Siena
15
13
0.5360.54
-3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
UNC Greensboro
18
12
0.6000.60
-5.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
UNC Greensboro
11
17
0.3930.39
-9.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
UNC Greensboro
7
22
0.2410.24
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
UNC Greensboro
20
11
0.6450.65
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
UNC Greensboro
19
12
0.6130.61
-3.8
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
UNC Greensboro
15
13
0.5360.54
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1987-88
Lehigh
21
10
0.6770.68
—
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Kansas City, MO
►1986-87
Lehigh
15
14
0.5170.52
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►1985-86
Lehigh
13
15
0.4640.46
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Dallas, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.