5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
51.8%
145 games
As Favorite
55.1%
69 games
As Underdog
54.0%
74 games
Recent Season
48.1%
2025-26
Current Season
48.1%
27 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Middle Tennessee
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Middle Tennessee
17
15
0.5310.53
-5.4
+0.1
—
—
+0.16
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Middle Tennessee
22
12
0.6470.65
-0.6
+3.7
—
—
+1.34
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Middle Tennessee
14
19
0.4240.42
-9.3
-1.6
—
—
-4.34
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Middle Tennessee
19
14
0.5760.58
-2.4
+0.6
—
—
+0.27
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Middle Tennessee
26
11
0.7030.70
+0.1
+6.0
—
—
+3.37
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Middle Tennessee
5
18
0.2170.22
-10.5
-1.2
—
—
-1.35
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Middle Tennessee
8
23
0.2580.26
-13.6
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Middle Tennessee
11
21
0.3440.34
-9.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
UNC Asheville
21
13
0.6180.62
-3.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
UNC Asheville
23
10
0.6970.70
-0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
UNC Asheville
22
12
0.6470.65
-2.8
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
UNC Asheville
15
16
0.4840.48
-8.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
UNC Asheville
17
15
0.5310.53
-7.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.