5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
46.6%
151 games
As Favorite
50.7%
75 games
As Underdog
42.1%
76 games
Recent Season
54.8%
2025-26
Current Season
54.8%
31 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2025-26
LSU
15
17
0.4690.47
-1.4
-3.0
—
—
-1.44
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
LSU
14
18
0.4380.44
-1.6
-1.5
—
—
-1.11
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
LSU
17
16
0.5150.52
-0.8
-0.6
—
—
-0.98
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
LSU
14
19
0.4240.42
-5.1
-2.8
—
—
-4.45
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Murray St.
31
3
0.9120.91
+6.3
+5.5
+0.14
#7
+3.22
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Murray St.
13
13
0.5000.50
-8.1
-4.7
—
—
-3.48
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Murray St.
23
9
0.7190.72
-2.0
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Murray St.
28
5
0.8480.85
+4.3
—
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Murray St.
26
6
0.8120.81
+2.9
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Murray St.
16
17
0.4850.48
-9.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Murray St.
17
14
0.5480.55
-5.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.