5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.7%
152 games
As Favorite
53.6%
110 games
As Underdog
52.4%
42 games
Recent Season
51.5%
2025-26
Current Season
51.5%
33 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Texas A&M
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Texas A&M
22
12
0.6470.65
+4.4
+1.2
+0.42
#10
+0.89
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Samford
22
11
0.6670.67
-1.5
+0.2
—
—
-1.52
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Samford
29
6
0.8290.83
+3.4
+5.5
-0.24
#13
+2.47
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Samford
21
11
0.6560.66
-3.6
+1.5
—
—
+1.00
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Samford
21
11
0.6560.66
-2.1
+4.6
—
—
+1.21
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Samford
6
13
0.3160.32
-7.9
-2.5
—
—
-1.94
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.