5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.0%
158 games
As Favorite
58.5%
94 games
As Underdog
43.5%
62 games
Recent Season
43.8%
2025-26
Current Season
43.8%
32 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Minnesota
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Minnesota
15
18
0.4550.45
-1.6
-1.8
—
—
-0.50
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Colorado St.
26
10
0.7220.72
+4.8
+5.2
+0.52
#12
+4.86
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Colorado St.
25
11
0.6940.69
+4.8
+2.0
+0.42
#10
-0.29
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Colorado St.
15
18
0.4550.45
-4.3
-2.1
—
—
-0.82
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Colorado St.
25
6
0.8060.81
+6.8
+4.1
-1.02
#6
-0.74
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Colorado St.
20
8
0.7140.71
+2.2
+2.7
—
—
+4.54
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Colorado St.
20
12
0.6250.62
-0.3
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Colorado St.
12
20
0.3750.38
-8.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Drake
17
17
0.5000.50
-5.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Furman
23
12
0.6570.66
-2.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Furman
19
16
0.5430.54
-6.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Furman
11
22
0.3330.33
-12.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Furman
9
21
0.3000.30
-14.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.