5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
38.4%
144 games
As Favorite
37.3%
67 games
As Underdog
40.3%
77 games
Recent Season
37.9%
2025-26
Current Season
37.9%
29 games · 2025-26
Struggles to cover the spread — well below average ATS.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Rhode Island
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Rhode Island
16
16
0.5000.50
-5.5
-2.0
—
—
-1.47
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Rhode Island
18
13
0.5810.58
-4.7
+0.1
—
—
-1.68
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Rhode Island
12
20
0.3750.38
-8.8
-1.4
—
—
-0.12
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Rhode Island
9
22
0.2900.29
-12.8
-5.3
—
—
-3.59
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2020-21
Indiana
12
15
0.4440.44
+0.4
-1.6
—
—
-1.73
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Indiana
20
12
0.6250.62
+4.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Indiana
19
16
0.5430.54
+2.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Indiana
16
15
0.5160.52
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Dayton
24
8
0.7500.75
+4.4
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Dayton
25
8
0.7580.76
+5.7
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Dayton
27
9
0.7500.75
+4.9
—
+1.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Dayton
26
11
0.7030.70
+3.1
—
+2.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Dayton
17
14
0.5480.55
-1.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Dayton
20
13
0.6060.61
+0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.