5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.5%
161 games
As Favorite
52.0%
98 games
As Underdog
51.6%
62 games
Recent Season
57.6%
2025-26
Current Season
57.6%
33 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Texas
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Texas
21
15
0.5830.58
+2.3
+0.1
+2.44
#11
+1.06
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Xavier
22
12
0.6470.65
+3.6
+1.9
+0.44
#11
+1.33
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Xavier
16
18
0.4710.47
-1.8
-2.1
—
—
-0.54
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Xavier
27
10
0.7300.73
+7.0
+5.0
+0.21
#3
+1.79
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2020-21
Arizona
17
9
0.6540.65
+2.0
+0.2
—
—
-0.15
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Arizona
21
11
0.6560.66
+3.7
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Arizona
17
15
0.5310.53
-0.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Arizona
27
8
0.7710.77
+7.3
—
-1.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Arizona
32
5
0.8650.86
+11.0
—
-0.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Arizona
25
9
0.7350.74
+6.5
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Arizona
34
4
0.8950.89
+12.5
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Arizona
33
5
0.8680.87
+12.4
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Arizona
27
8
0.7710.77
+8.0
—
+0.98
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Arizona
23
12
0.6570.66
+2.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Arizona
30
8
0.7890.79
+8.0
—
+1.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Arizona
16
15
0.5160.52
+0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Xavier
27
8
0.7710.77
+6.4
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Xavier
30
7
0.8110.81
—
—
+1.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Xavier
25
9
0.7350.74
+3.0
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Xavier
21
11
0.6560.66
+1.8
—
-0.15
#14
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Xavier
17
12
0.5860.59
-1.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.