5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
46.5%
137 games
As Favorite
53.0%
66 games
As Underdog
44.1%
68 games
Recent Season
41.4%
2025-26
Current Season
41.4%
29 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Jacksonville
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Jacksonville
12
20
0.3750.38
-11.5
-2.2
—
—
-1.62
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Jacksonville
19
14
0.5760.58
-4.1
+1.2
—
—
+0.37
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Jacksonville
16
17
0.4850.48
-8.9
+0.5
—
—
-0.95
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Jacksonville
13
16
0.4480.45
-8.3
-2.9
—
—
-3.37
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Jacksonville
21
10
0.6770.68
-3.3
+4.5
—
—
+4.59
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.