5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
45.9%
143 games
As Favorite
41.9%
62 games
As Underdog
50.6%
81 games
Recent Season
58.1%
2025-26
Current Season
58.1%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Eastern Washington
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Eastern Washington
14
19
0.4240.42
-8.5
-0.5
—
—
+2.67
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Eastern Washington
10
22
0.3120.31
-12.8
-4.0
—
—
-2.08
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Long Beach St.
21
15
0.5830.58
-4.2
+1.5
-0.10
#15
-0.38
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Long Beach St.
17
16
0.5150.52
-6.0
-1.8
—
—
-2.00
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Long Beach St.
20
13
0.6060.61
-1.9
+4.7
—
—
+3.06
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Long Beach St.
6
12
0.3330.33
-7.1
-1.6
—
—
-5.73
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Long Beach St.
11
21
0.3440.34
-10.3
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Long Beach St.
15
19
0.4410.44
-7.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Long Beach St.
15
18
0.4550.45
-6.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Long Beach St.
15
19
0.4410.44
-8.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Long Beach St.
20
15
0.5710.57
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Long Beach St.
16
17
0.4850.48
-2.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Long Beach St.
15
17
0.4690.47
-5.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Long Beach St.
19
14
0.5760.58
-1.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Long Beach St.
25
9
0.7350.74
+3.9
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Long Beach St.
22
12
0.6470.65
+1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Long Beach St.
17
16
0.5150.52
-3.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Long Beach St.
15
15
0.5000.50
-4.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Long Beach St.
6
25
0.1940.19
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Minnesota
2
5
0.2860.29
-7.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Minnesota
16
15
0.5160.52
-1.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Minnesota
21
11
0.6560.66
+4.3
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Minnesota
12
18
0.4000.40
-4.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Minnesota
19
14
0.5760.58
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Minnesota
18
13
0.5810.58
+2.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Minnesota
18
14
0.5620.56
+1.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Minnesota
12
16
0.4290.43
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Gonzaga
28
7
0.8000.80
—
—
+2.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Gonzaga
24
10
0.7060.71
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.