5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
51.3%
73 games
As Favorite
70.0%
10 games
As Underdog
49.2%
63 games
Recent Season
67.9%
2025-26
Current Season
67.9%
28 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Detroit Mercy
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Detroit Mercy
17
15
0.5310.53
-6.5
+2.6
—
—
+2.96
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Detroit Mercy
8
24
0.2500.25
-15.4
-0.6
—
—
+1.72
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2020-21
Northern Illinois
3
16
0.1580.16
-9.8
-3.0
—
—
-5.00
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Northern Illinois
18
13
0.5810.58
-3.8
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Northern Illinois
17
17
0.5000.50
-4.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Northern Illinois
13
19
0.4060.41
-10.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Northern Illinois
15
17
0.4690.47
-8.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Northern Illinois
21
13
0.6180.62
-2.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Northern Illinois
14
16
0.4670.47
-5.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Northern Illinois
15
17
0.4690.47
-6.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Northern Illinois
5
25
0.1670.17
-15.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Northern Illinois
5
26
0.1610.16
-16.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.