5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
48.1%
159 games
As Favorite
43.4%
76 games
As Underdog
53.0%
83 games
Recent Season
45.7%
2025-26
Current Season
45.7%
35 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Oklahoma
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Oklahoma
21
16
0.5680.57
+2.4
+0.5
—
—
+0.79
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Oklahoma
20
14
0.5880.59
+4.5
+1.8
-0.60
#9
+0.44
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Oklahoma
20
12
0.6250.62
+3.4
+0.8
—
—
+1.14
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Oklahoma
15
17
0.4690.47
-0.1
-2.1
—
—
-1.12
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Oklahoma
19
16
0.5430.54
+2.1
+0.1
—
—
+1.39
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Loyola Chicago
26
5
0.8390.84
+4.8
+2.9
+1.31
#8
+4.00
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Loyola Chicago
21
11
0.6560.66
-1.0
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Loyola Chicago
20
14
0.5880.59
-2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Loyola Chicago
32
6
0.8420.84
+5.1
—
+3.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Loyola Chicago
18
14
0.5620.56
-4.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Loyola Chicago
15
17
0.4690.47
-6.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Loyola Chicago
24
13
0.6490.65
-1.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Loyola Chicago
10
22
0.3120.31
-12.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Loyola Chicago
15
16
0.4840.48
-6.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Loyola Chicago
7
23
0.2330.23
-13.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2006-07
Illinois St.
15
16
0.4840.48
-2.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Illinois St.
9
19
0.3210.32
-6.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Illinois St.
17
13
0.5670.57
-1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Illinois St.
10
19
0.3450.34
-7.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Little Rock
18
12
0.6000.60
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Little Rock
18
11
0.6210.62
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Little Rock
18
11
0.6210.62
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.