5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
51.4%
116 games
As Favorite
44.7%
47 games
As Underdog
55.2%
67 games
Recent Season
54.2%
2025-26
Current Season
54.2%
24 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
North Carolina Central
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
North Carolina Central
14
18
0.4380.44
-11.0
-2.3
—
—
-2.17
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
North Carolina Central
14
19
0.4240.42
-12.6
-3.8
—
—
-2.78
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
North Carolina Central
18
13
0.5810.58
-7.3
-0.2
—
—
+1.17
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
North Carolina Central
18
12
0.6000.60
-5.7
+1.0
—
—
+3.58
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
North Carolina Central
16
15
0.5160.52
-8.3
+0.1
—
—
-0.47
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
North Carolina Central
5
9
0.3570.36
-5.6
-1.9
—
—
-6.78
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
North Carolina Central
18
13
0.5810.58
-6.3
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
North Carolina Central
18
16
0.5290.53
-7.7
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
North Carolina Central
19
16
0.5430.54
-9.1
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
North Carolina Central
25
9
0.7350.74
-2.3
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
North Carolina Central
13
19
0.4060.41
-12.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
North Carolina Central
25
8
0.7580.76
+0.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
North Carolina Central
28
6
0.8240.82
+2.1
—
-0.15
#14
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
North Carolina Central
22
9
0.7100.71
-0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
North Carolina Central
17
15
0.5310.53
-6.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
North Carolina Central
15
15
0.5000.50
-8.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.