5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.1%
171 games
As Favorite
53.0%
134 games
As Underdog
47.2%
36 games
Recent Season
48.6%
2025-26
Current Season
48.6%
35 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Alabama
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Alabama
25
10
0.7140.71
+9.6
+2.5
+0.48
#4
+1.76
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Alabama
28
9
0.7570.76
+12.2
+3.7
+0.73
#2
+1.69
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Alabama
25
12
0.6760.68
+5.7
+1.1
+2.48
#4
+2.21
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Alabama
31
6
0.8380.84
+11.6
+5.5
-1.26
#1
+4.38
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Alabama
19
14
0.5760.58
+4.0
-2.2
-1.02
#6
-3.94
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Alabama
26
7
0.7880.79
+9.4
+4.4
-0.27
#2
+5.06
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Alabama
16
15
0.5160.52
-0.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Buffalo
32
4
0.8890.89
+9.8
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Buffalo
27
9
0.7500.75
+2.2
—
+0.76
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Buffalo
17
15
0.5310.53
-4.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Buffalo
20
15
0.5710.57
-2.3
—
-0.15
#14
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.