5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
57.9%
169 games
As Favorite
60.6%
132 games
As Underdog
43.2%
37 games
Recent Season
60.0%
2025-26
Current Season
60.0%
35 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Virginia
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Virginia
30
6
0.8330.83
+11.1
+4.9
-0.79
#3
+2.16
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
VCU
28
7
0.8000.80
+4.4
+2.5
-0.56
#11
+0.75
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
VCU
24
14
0.6320.63
+0.1
+2.8
—
—
+1.42
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Utah St.
26
9
0.7430.74
+6.1
+3.5
-0.58
#10
+1.57
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Utah St.
18
16
0.5290.53
-2.1
-2.6
—
—
+0.84
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UMBC
14
6
0.7000.70
-1.2
+2.4
—
—
+3.94
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
UMBC
16
17
0.4850.48
-9.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
UMBC
21
13
0.6180.62
-4.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
UMBC
25
11
0.6940.69
-1.7
—
+0.99
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
UMBC
21
13
0.6180.62
-4.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2014-15
Charlotte
8
11
0.4210.42
-6.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.