5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
57.6%
145 games
As Favorite
59.5%
79 games
As Underdog
51.5%
66 games
Recent Season
55.6%
2025-26
Current Season
55.6%
36 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
New Mexico
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
New Mexico
26
11
0.7030.70
+3.0
+2.2
—
—
+3.22
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UC San Diego
30
5
0.8570.86
+5.4
+5.8
-0.48
#12
+6.35
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
UC San Diego
21
12
0.6360.64
-2.4
+2.5
—
—
+2.66
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
UC San Diego
10
20
0.3330.33
-11.2
-2.4
—
—
-1.12
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
UC San Diego
13
16
0.4480.45
-8.9
-1.6
—
—
-2.68
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UC San Diego
7
10
0.4120.41
-5.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.