5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
59.2%
171 games
As Favorite
55.9%
118 games
As Underdog
65.4%
52 games
Recent Season
62.2%
2025-26
Current Season
62.2%
37 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Iowa St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Iowa St.
29
8
0.7840.78
+10.2
+2.0
-0.27
#2
+1.77
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Iowa St.
25
10
0.7140.71
+8.2
-0.1
-0.79
#3
-0.35
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Iowa St.
29
8
0.7840.78
+9.5
+4.3
-0.27
#2
+4.70
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Iowa St.
19
14
0.5760.58
+3.7
-0.1
-1.02
#6
+0.82
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Iowa St.
22
13
0.6290.63
+3.5
+3.3
+1.44
#11
+0.37
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UNLV
12
15
0.4440.44
-5.5
-2.0
—
—
+1.07
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
UNLV
17
15
0.5310.53
-2.6
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
South Dakota St.
24
9
0.7270.73
+0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
South Dakota St.
28
7
0.8000.80
+4.0
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
South Dakota St.
18
17
0.5140.51
-5.8
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.