5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.3%
30 games
As Favorite
52.0%
25 games
As Underdog
60.0%
5 games
Recent Season
53.3%
2025-26
Current Season
53.3%
30 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Arkansas St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Arkansas St.
20
12
0.6250.62
-6.9
+0.3
—
—
-0.05
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.