5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
55.7%
165 games
As Favorite
59.0%
134 games
As Underdog
41.9%
31 games
Recent Season
55.3%
2024-25
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2024-25
Auburn
32
6
0.8420.84
+14.9
+4.5
+0.74
#1
+1.87
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Auburn
27
8
0.7710.77
+8.3
+2.0
-1.52
#4
+2.79
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Auburn
21
13
0.6180.62
+2.7
-0.3
+0.40
#9
-0.29
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Auburn
28
6
0.8240.82
+9.8
+3.9
-1.27
#2
-0.26
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Auburn
13
14
0.4810.48
-0.2
-0.5
—
—
+2.31
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Auburn
25
6
0.8060.81
+7.7
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Auburn
30
10
0.7500.75
+8.5
—
+2.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Auburn
26
8
0.7650.76
+7.4
—
-0.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Auburn
18
14
0.5620.56
+0.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Auburn
11
20
0.3550.35
-5.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Auburn
15
20
0.4290.43
-3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2010-11
Tennessee
19
15
0.5590.56
+2.2
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Tennessee
28
9
0.7570.76
+7.8
—
+1.98
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Tennessee
21
13
0.6180.62
+4.3
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Tennessee
31
5
0.8610.86
—
—
-0.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Tennessee
24
11
0.6860.69
+6.4
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Tennessee
22
8
0.7330.73
+6.3
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Milwaukee
26
6
0.8120.81
+4.6
—
+1.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Milwaukee
20
11
0.6450.65
+0.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Milwaukee
24
8
0.7500.75
—
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Milwaukee
16
13
0.5520.55
-2.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.