5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
49.9%
126 games
As Favorite
42.6%
68 games
As Underdog
55.2%
58 games
Recent Season
58.8%
2025-26
Current Season
58.8%
34 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Illinois St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Illinois St.
23
13
0.6390.64
-3.1
+2.4
—
—
+2.07
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Illinois St.
22
14
0.6110.61
-4.2
+2.6
—
—
+1.34
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Illinois St.
15
17
0.4690.47
-7.6
-0.4
—
—
+0.08
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Illinois St.
11
21
0.3440.34
-13.3
-2.5
—
—
-1.24
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.