5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
58.3%
168 games
As Favorite
54.7%
139 games
As Underdog
71.4%
28 games
Recent Season
62.2%
2025-26
Current Season
62.2%
37 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
St. John's
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
St. John's
30
7
0.8110.81
+10.4
+4.9
+0.88
#5
+1.05
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
St. John's
31
5
0.8610.86
+11.5
+5.6
-1.27
#2
+2.96
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
St. John's
20
13
0.6060.61
+2.7
+0.5
—
—
+2.30
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Iona
27
8
0.7710.77
+1.2
+2.4
-0.24
#13
+2.16
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Iona
25
8
0.7580.76
+2.4
+4.7
—
—
-0.63
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Iona
12
6
0.6670.67
-1.7
+1.5
-0.10
#15
+2.79
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2016-17
Louisville
25
9
0.7350.74
+8.4
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Louisville
23
8
0.7420.74
+5.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Louisville
27
9
0.7500.75
+7.2
—
+1.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Louisville
31
6
0.8380.84
+8.2
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Louisville
35
5
0.8750.88
+11.8
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Louisville
30
10
0.7500.75
+7.8
—
+2.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Louisville
25
10
0.7140.71
+7.1
—
-1.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Louisville
20
13
0.6060.61
+3.4
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Louisville
31
6
0.8380.84
+10.9
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Louisville
27
9
0.7500.75
—
—
+1.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Louisville
24
10
0.7060.71
+5.0
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Louisville
21
13
0.6180.62
+1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Louisville
33
5
0.8680.87
+10.0
—
+2.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Louisville
20
10
0.6670.67
+5.3
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Louisville
25
7
0.7810.78
—
—
-0.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Louisville
19
13
0.5940.59
+3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►1996-97
Kentucky
35
5
0.8750.88
—
—
+1.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Kentucky
34
2
0.9440.94
—
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Kentucky
28
5
0.8480.85
—
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Seattle, WA
►1993-94
Kentucky
27
7
0.7940.79
—
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Charlotte, NC
►1992-93
Kentucky
30
4
0.8820.88
—
—
+0.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
New Orleans, LA
►1991-92
Kentucky
29
7
0.8060.81
—
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Minneapolis, MN
►1990-91
Kentucky
22
6
0.7860.79
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1989-90
Kentucky
14
14
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Denver, CO
►1986-87
Providence
25
9
0.7350.74
—
—
+2.98
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
New Orleans, LA
►1985-86
Providence
17
14
0.5480.55
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Dallas, TX
1982-83
Boston University
21
10
0.6770.68
—
—
—
—
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Albuquerque, NM
1981-82
Boston University
19
9
0.6790.68
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
1980-81
Boston University
13
14
0.4810.48
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Philadelphia, PA
1979-80
Boston University
21
9
0.7000.70
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
1978-79
Boston University
17
9
0.6540.65
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Salt Lake City, UT
1975-76
Hawaii
2
4
0.3330.33
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Philadelphia, PA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.