5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.3%
161 games
As Favorite
53.7%
95 games
As Underdog
56.1%
66 games
Recent Season
48.5%
2025-26
Current Season
48.5%
33 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Xavier
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Xavier
15
18
0.4550.45
-1.9
-0.8
—
—
-1.29
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
New Mexico
27
8
0.7710.77
+6.3
+3.4
+0.42
#10
+1.18
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
New Mexico
26
10
0.7220.72
+5.6
+1.8
-0.56
#11
+1.85
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
New Mexico
22
12
0.6470.65
+1.8
+0.3
—
—
+2.03
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
New Mexico
13
19
0.4060.41
-6.6
-1.9
—
—
+2.38
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Minnesota
14
15
0.4830.48
+1.0
-1.0
—
—
-2.11
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Minnesota
15
16
0.4840.48
+0.3
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Minnesota
22
14
0.6110.61
+5.5
—
+0.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Minnesota
15
17
0.4690.47
-2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Minnesota
24
10
0.7060.71
+6.8
—
-1.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Minnesota
8
23
0.2580.26
-9.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Minnesota
18
15
0.5450.55
+0.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Minnesota
25
13
0.6580.66
+2.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
FIU
18
14
0.5620.56
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.