5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
51.4%
161 games
As Favorite
50.0%
114 games
As Underdog
53.2%
47 games
Recent Season
50.0%
2025-26
Current Season
50.0%
36 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Kentucky
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Kentucky
22
14
0.6110.61
+5.2
+0.0
+0.14
#7
-2.39
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Kentucky
24
12
0.6670.67
+7.2
+2.1
+0.21
#3
+0.74
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
BYU
23
11
0.6760.68
+5.7
-0.5
-1.02
#6
+1.59
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
BYU
19
15
0.5590.56
-1.9
-2.0
—
—
+0.52
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
BYU
24
11
0.6860.69
+2.4
+1.3
—
—
-1.55
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
BYU
20
7
0.7410.74
+5.2
+2.5
-1.02
#6
+4.83
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
BYU
24
8
0.7500.75
+5.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Utah Valley
25
10
0.7140.71
+1.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Utah Valley
23
11
0.6760.68
-1.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Utah Valley
17
17
0.5000.50
-7.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Utah Valley
12
18
0.4000.40
-9.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.