5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
57.9%
94 games
As Favorite
46.2%
26 games
As Underdog
61.8%
68 games
Recent Season
62.5%
2025-26
Current Season
62.5%
32 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Valparaiso
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Valparaiso
18
15
0.5450.55
-4.6
+3.3
—
—
+2.94
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Valparaiso
15
19
0.4410.44
-8.9
-0.1
—
—
+1.19
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Valparaiso
7
25
0.2190.22
-14.4
-3.8
—
—
-0.50
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.