5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
50.1%
156 games
As Favorite
50.0%
90 games
As Underdog
54.5%
66 games
Recent Season
37.5%
2025-26
Current Season
37.5%
32 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Penn St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Penn St.
12
20
0.3750.38
-4.6
-2.1
—
—
-0.88
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Penn St.
16
15
0.5160.52
-1.1
-2.2
—
—
-1.74
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Penn St.
16
17
0.4850.48
-1.9
-0.5
—
—
+1.17
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
VCU
27
8
0.7710.77
+3.7
+4.6
-0.48
#12
+2.21
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
VCU
22
10
0.6880.69
+2.9
+3.3
—
—
+1.81
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
VCU
19
7
0.7310.73
+3.8
+2.8
-0.58
#10
+1.93
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
VCU
18
13
0.5810.58
-0.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
VCU
25
8
0.7580.76
+4.9
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
VCU
18
15
0.5450.55
-3.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Rice
23
12
0.6570.66
-2.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Rice
12
20
0.3750.38
-11.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Rice
12
20
0.3750.38
-9.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.