5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
50.6%
137 games
As Favorite
47.3%
74 games
As Underdog
51.6%
62 games
Recent Season
62.1%
2025-26
Current Season
62.1%
29 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
North Dakota St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
North Dakota St.
27
8
0.7710.77
+0.2
+5.6
-0.15
#14
+3.81
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
North Dakota St.
21
11
0.6560.66
-2.8
+1.4
—
—
+1.28
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
North Dakota St.
15
17
0.4690.47
-8.4
-1.5
—
—
-1.46
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
North Dakota St.
16
17
0.4850.48
-7.4
+0.6
—
—
+0.21
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
North Dakota St.
23
10
0.6970.70
-1.8
+3.2
—
—
-0.98
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
North Dakota St.
15
12
0.5560.56
-3.8
-1.3
—
—
+3.23
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
North Dakota St.
25
8
0.7580.76
+0.3
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
North Dakota St.
19
16
0.5430.54
-5.0
—
+0.99
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
North Dakota St.
15
17
0.4690.47
-7.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
North Dakota St.
19
11
0.6330.63
-2.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
North Dakota St.
20
13
0.6060.61
-3.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
North Dakota St.
23
10
0.6970.70
-0.6
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.