5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.9%
135 games
As Favorite
50.0%
64 games
As Underdog
54.9%
71 games
Recent Season
58.6%
2025-26
Current Season
58.6%
29 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Mercer
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Mercer
19
13
0.5940.59
-5.4
+0.2
—
—
+0.71
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Mercer
14
19
0.4240.42
-10.7
-2.4
—
—
-1.79
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Tennessee Martin
21
11
0.6560.66
-3.5
+2.8
—
—
+1.83
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Tennessee Martin
19
14
0.5760.58
-7.7
-0.2
—
—
-0.26
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Tennessee Martin
8
22
0.2670.27
-13.0
-3.1
—
—
+0.62
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2019-20
Bethune Cookman
16
14
0.5330.53
-7.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Bethune Cookman
14
17
0.4520.45
-10.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Bethune Cookman
18
14
0.5620.56
-8.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.