5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
56.2%
144 games
As Favorite
57.1%
133 games
As Underdog
36.4%
11 games
Recent Season
54.0%
2025-26
Current Season
54.0%
37 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Duke
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Duke
35
3
0.9210.92
+16.4
+5.4
-0.26
#1
+1.92
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Duke
35
4
0.8970.90
+12.6
+3.8
+0.74
#1
+4.35
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Duke
27
9
0.7500.75
+6.3
+1.1
+1.48
#4
+0.54
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Duke
27
9
0.7500.75
+6.1
+2.6
-0.12
#5
-0.29
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.